Asian Times: What has ‘champion of democracy’ wrought? Nancy Pelosi’s welcome to Taiwan was far from unanimous, and her ‘support for human rights’ is in question in her San Francisco home city “民主衛士”做了什麼? 南希佩洛西對台灣的歡迎遠非一致,她的“支持人權”在她的舊金山家鄉受到質疑 by George Koo, Aug 4 2022
US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. Photo: US Department of Labor via Wikipedia Despite earnest counsel from many quarters against going to Taiwan, including threatening warnings of dire consequences from Beijing, the Speaker of the US House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, insisted on making the trip. She landed in Taipei in pitch-black conditions near midnight on Tuesday.
Her plane landed on the little-used Songshan Airport close to the Taipei city center. The runway and other lights on the ground were lowered just in case.
Her flight path from Malaysia took an exaggerated circular route over Indonesia and then around the east coast of the Philippines and landed in Taipei from the east. Thus she completely avoided China’s airspace over the South China Sea and the Chinese coastline.
Her flight took significantly longer than if she had simply flown directly by line of sight from Kuala Lumpur to Taipei. Apparently, an exact replica of the military aircraft did take off from KL hours earlier and flew directly to Taipei. We have to wonder how that crew must have felt as a decoy to test the resolve of China’s People’s Liberation Army.
American fighter jets took off from the carrier USS Ronald Reagan to provide escort service with the help midair-fueling tankers, needed to extend the fighters’ limited range. As Pelosi’s plane approach Taiwan airspace, Taiwan-based jets took over the escort service.
Happily, Pelosi’s plane landed without incident.
So, other than burnishing her credentials as a champion of democracy and human rights – subject to further discussion later – what has her tour accomplished?
Well, President Tsai Ing-wen awarded Pelosi with the Order of Propitious Clouds, Taiwan’s highest civilian order. And the award came with a pretty turquoise sash worn across the body as if she were Miss California.
In fact, the pro-Democratic Progressive Party faction of the Taiwan media gushed enthusiastically over the beauty of Pelosi when she was young, repeatedly showing a photo of her standing with then-president John F Kennedy, who was giving her an appreciative ogle.
Other members of the Taiwan media were less complimentary and flattering. One commentator observed that Pelosi promised more security for Taiwan. Yet as a result of her visit, the tension across the Strait has heightened, and now people in Taiwan face frequent fighter-jet incursions from the mainland. Taiwan has become less secure.
Another said that the cross-Strait problems should have been left to the two sides to resolve and not commandeered by the US. Now, he lamented, “We have been reduced to a chess piece between two great powers.”
Yet another asked the rhetorical question: “Can Taiwan become the next Ukraine?” Heretofore, we have been secure and peaceful and faced no risk of war across the Strait, he said. But the Western media are pushing Taiwan to the front line of conflict.
The response from the mainland was for its customs authority to announce suspension of imports from Taiwan encompassing more than 3,000 products, most of which are foodstuffs and agricultural goods. The announcement came on the eve of Pelosi’s arrival and will likely incur heavy losses and put a dent in the trade surplus Taiwan normally enjoys.
Pelosi throws the party, Taiwan foots the bill
Tsai’s government is supposed to have realized the possible consequential fallout of heavy economic losses and had quietly asked Pelosi if she could consider not coming, but to no avail.
It’s not as if Pelosi was unaware of the potential damage and negative consequences of her visit. On the eve of her departure from the US, voters in her own congressional district demonstrated in front of her office asking her not to visit Taiwan.
She also elicited vocal protest in Taipei after her arrival. One sign read, “War Speaker Pelosi get out of Taipei.” Laotaipo, “old woman,” is one of the nicer name-callings for her. Less kind, some thought of the US military transport as her personal broom to fly into Taipei.
China’s show of displeasure came with the announced live-fire drills commencing shortly after Pelosi’s departure for South Korea. The drills will in essence surround the entire island and threaten Taiwan in every direction. Pelosi’s visit has given China an excuse to do a practice run for a potential future invasion.
No wonder Republican members of Congress, while enthusiastically encouraging her and voicing their support for her trip to Taiwan, all found reasons to stay home and not join her. Only former secretary of state Mike Pompeo volunteered to make it a bipartisan tour, but apparently no one cared for his company.
One final measure of the popularity of Pelosi’s foray to Taiwan is South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol informing her that he is on vacation and can’t take the time to see her.
Since being elected president, it took less than three months for Yoon’s popularity to drop below 30%. He could see the reaction Pelosi got from Taiwan and saw no upside for him to meet with her.
Pelosi has represented the city of San Francisco in Congress for well over three decades. During this time, she has risen in seniority to become the Speaker of the House, two steps from the presidency. She has also taken on the mantle as a champion of democracy and human rights.
In her more than 30 years of public service, we have seen the institution of democracy in America erode and deteriorate to the point of gridlock and impasse. True, it would not be fair to blame it all on her. It took many petty politicians to make the mess that we Americans are in, but she is one of them.
During her term of office, the blight of her district has worsened every year. San Francisco has become the major city with the worst homeless problem in all of the US. The sidewalks, doorways and public areas are just gross beyond description.
Nancy Pelosi apparently cares about human rights as far away as China but not much in San Francisco.
George Koo is a retired business consultant who resides in California.
Professor Ling-chi Wang of UC Berkeley: Another great piece from you. Pelosi definitely deserves our middle-finger salute. I like the way you link her self-serving, wasteful, and provocative graduation trip to Taiwan to the mounting domestic problems across the U.S., especially in her Congressional district in which many of us reside.
By the way, even though she has one of the largest, if not the largest Chinese American constituencies in the U.S., she has never done anything to empower the disenfranchised Chinese American population in the city. In fact, she and her liberal Democratic machine in the city has been doing its utmost to obstruct Chinese American political participation in civic and political affairs. In her eye, Chinese Americans don’t exist just like her steadfast refusal to acknowledge China and its people.
“Strategists Admit West (USA) is Goading China Into War” YES, WE WANT WAR WITH CHINA But just a small one, please, followed by a quick surrender. 戰略家承認西方(美國)正在將中國推向戰爭” 是的,我們想與中國開戰,但請只是打一場小仗,然後希望中國迅速投降
♦️US needs to do something because Asia’s growth to become world’s economic heartland has become unstoppable.
♦️West fears being left behind if it lets the East continue to rise at its current speed.
♦️China must be contained, as international media joins the US side in the biggest culture war of all.
Excerpt
The United States is diligently working with Australia and the UK to goad China into what they hope will be a limited war over Taiwan, according to military strategists. The aim is to force it to fire the first bullet—and then use that to paint China as the protagonist, the bully that the rest of the world must unite against.
To prepare for this, their partners in the scheme are teaming up. The Western media is playing a key role in this process.
The media trivialises or turns a blind eye to the increasingly long series of clearly aggressive moves by the United States, including:
🔸Parking warships on China’s doorstep;
🔸Holding Naval sailing regattas in the Taiwan Straits;
🔸Landing senior US officials on Taiwanese soil in military planes;
🔸Creating an artificial “Taiwanese air space” zone and falsely alleging “incursions” or “violations” of it;
🔸Secretly providing military trainers on the island while lying about it;
🔸Inviting Taiwan to a summit on democracy as if it were a nation;
🔸And numerous other military and diplomatic moves which are clear and undeniable departures from crucial “status quo” agreements.
The media paints China’s entirely predictable responses that it “will not stand for attempts to promote Taiwan’s independence” as evidence of shocking new acts of “increasing aggression”, while the truth is that all China-watchers know they are the same statements they have issued for decades, often in virtually the same words.
The media pushes exaggerations and misinformation about the “death of Hong Kong”, the “genocide of Xinjiang”, the “imminent invasion of Australia” and so on.
Why are the Western powers doing this? They certainly want to destabilize China and set back the country’s development and positioning in the world by several decades. But that’s just part of a larger goal. They feel the need to do this primarily because the Western powers have recognized that Asia will soon be the center of global economic power.
Nothing will stop that happening. This means that time is running out.
The media has been preparing the world for the conflict for years. America’s hawks put huge sums of time and money into financing dissent in Asia and partnering with the Western media to create the impression that the people of Hong Kong, Xinjiang, Tibet and Taiwan, want independence from mainland China – although surveys overwhelmingly show that this is the opposite of the truth.
These imaginary “cries for independence” are necessary for the next stage in the process: to push China into what can only be described as a deluded and limited war over Taiwan; being aimed to attain the larger objectives of undermining both China and ASEAN.
The war or “coming conflict” with China has been discussed in multiple forums and publications, not least of which is a book by Elbridge Colby, one of the writers of the US National Defense Strategy. It argues that escalating Taiwan tensions into a conflict gives America a chance at winning, unlike a Cold War arms race, therefore desirable.
An arms race would eventually be won by China, which is on its way to being richer and stronger than America, Colby points out. And “the economic costs could be crippling, seriously stressing the US economy, the ultimate source of America’s military strength”.
Instead, the US can push China into a limited conflict over Taiwan, with the media painting China as the bully and the US as the white knight. Done right, the skirmish would unite the rest of the world’s countries against China and on to the American side.
This strategy is receiving significant interest and or support from other US hawks.
“China must be provoked into initiating any escalation of the conflict, so that it will always appear the aggressor,” writes defense journalist Aris Roussinos, summarizing the Colby strategy.
What about Taiwanese casualties? China “must be permitted to strike as indiscriminately as possible,” in this scenario. “Colby further urges the US not to provide potential civilian targets with air defences, reasoning that collateral damage will whip up public anger against China, necessary to winning a war,” Roussinos adds.
In other words, deaths of Taiwan citizens (the ‘collateral damage’ as he mentions) would be a public relations coup for the US side.
Pelosi’s Taiwan visit has shown China diplomacy doesn’t work – now all bets are off. It’s up to Joe Biden to pull the situation back from the brink on which Pelosi put it. 佩洛西的台灣訪問表明中國外交不起作用 – 現在所有的賭注都沒有了 by Scott Ritter
Scott Ritter is a former US Marine Corps intelligence officer and author of ‘Disarmament in the Time of Perestroika: Arms Control and the End of the Soviet Union.’ He served in the Soviet Union as an inspector implementing the INF Treaty, in General Schwarzkopf’s staff during the Gulf War, and from 1991-1998 as a UN weapons inspector.
Pelosi’s Taiwan visit has shown China diplomacy doesn’t work – now all bets are off
In March of this year, Chinese President Xi Jinping chastised US President Joe Biden on Ukraine, noting that “it took two hands to clap” (a reference to the role played by the US in fomenting the Russia-Ukraine crisis), and declaring “He who tied the bell to the Tiger must take it off,” a Chinese aphorism which basically said it was up to the US to fix the problems it was responsible for instigating.
During that same conversation, President Xi likewise took his American counterpart to task for statements made by US officials–including Biden himself–which suggested that the United States was drifting away from its historical commitment to the ‘One China’ policy regarding Taiwan that had underpinned US-Sino relations for decades. Xi noted that the “direct cause” of the current strain on relations is that “some people on the US side have not followed through on the important common understanding reached by us.”
The US, Xi added, has failed to deliver on virtually all of its promises to China regarding the avoidance of conflict, simultaneously promulgating deep-seated notions of China as an “imagined enemy” while sending the wrong signal to “Taiwan independence” forces, something Xi characterized as “very dangerous.” Continuation of such a policy direction would, the president noted, have a “disruptive impact” on China-US relations.
On August 2, the Speaker of the US House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, made an unannounced stop in Taiwan. This trip was made despite concerted warnings on the part of China that her visit would “lead to egregious political impact,” and that the Chinese military would “not sit idly by” if Pelosi landed in Taipei. The visit of Pelosi, number two in the line of succession to the Presidency of the United States, is a deliberately provocative move which appears to have been done independent of coordination with the State Department, the Department of Defense, or the White House.
China begins military drills near Taiwan – reports READ MORE China begins military drills near Taiwan – reports I, together with other former US intelligence and national security officials, had advised President Biden to curtail her visit out of concern that it would set in motion events which could result in a Chinese invasion of Taiwan and direct US-Chinese military confrontation. The White House refused to interfere with what it deemed the operation of a separate branch of government.
There can be little doubt that China did everything in its power short of shooting Pelosi’s plane down to dissuade the Speaker of the House to forgo her Taiwan visit. From the standpoint of national credibility, China literally put it all on the line. For China to do nothing in the face of what is an obvious provocation on the part of the US, through Pelosi, is not a probable outcome.
The question now is what will China do? The current diplomacy card has, for all intents and purposes, been exhausted. While China has imposed certain economic sanctions on Taiwan, the reality is the sanctions card, as wielded by China, is insufficient to the task of responding to the Pelosi provocation.
This leaves a military response.
China has already engaged in an unprecedented mobilization of military resources, by some accounts assembling more than 40 brigades, along with significant air defense and ballistic missile forces, hundreds of aircraft, and scores of ships. By rough calculation, this amounts to some 250,000 troops, and it doesn’t appear as if the mobilization is complete. China has announced that it will be holding live fire exercises around the periphery of Taiwan, including some that encroach on what Taiwan considers to be its sovereign space, running from August 4, the day after Pelosi’s departure from Taiwan, through August 7.
There is considerable cost, both in terms of fiscal resources and political capital, attached to military exercises of this scale during times of crisis. By mobilizing this amount of military resources, China has created a “use it or lose it” situation, where the military viability of the assembled force dissipates over time. The key question that needs to be answered is will China be satisfied with simply sending a signal to Taiwan and return its forces to their respective barracks once the exercises conclude, or if the Chinese government has determined that a red line has been crossed, and as such orders its military to transition from a live fire exercise to an actual invasion.
The answer to this question may very well rest with any parallel diplomatic track China may establish with both Taiwan and the US. If both Taiwan and the US can provide meaningful reassurances that Pelosi’s visit was not reflective of current US and Taiwan policy, there may be a possibility for China to be satisfied with simply flexing its muscle.
However, the Pelosi visit is itself a byproduct of a policy trend in both the US and Taiwan built on the notion of Taiwanese independence. If this perception cannot be altered, then China is bound through its Constitution to take measures consistent with preserving Chinese sovereignty over Taiwan. This, of course, would mean war.
Let there be no doubt—Nancy Pelosi, by landing in Taiwan, tied the bell to the tiger. It is now up to Joe Biden to take it off.
The question now is whether the tiger will cooperate.
China to test hypersonic missiles in Taiwan blockade drill – media. Global Times calls the drills a “reunification operation” rehearsal. Pelosi did a good job helping China to move up unification schedule 中國將在台灣封鎖演習中測試高超音速導彈《環球時報》稱這次演習是“統一行動”的演練。 佩洛西在幫助中國加快統一進程方面做得很好
“Taiwan is not a playground for US politicians,” Lyle Goldstein, director of Defense Priorities of Asia Engagement, told Bloomberg on Wednesday. “It is no exaggeration to say the future of humanity may depend on a pragmatic US-China relationship — House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s trip to Taiwan needlessly jeopardises regional stability.”
In Taiwan, hundreds of civilians gathered in different locations to either welcome or protest Ms Pelosi’s arrival, The Guardian reported, with independence groups outside the airport holding signs saying “I love Pelosi” and “shut up China”.
But according to the newspaper, the largest crowd gathered outside the Grand Hyatt, where she was due to stay, with protesters holding signs calling the Democrat a warmonger and chanting “Yankee go home”.
Photos showed pro-CCP protesters holding signs saying “ugly American”, “toruble [sic] maker Nancy Pelosi” and “American witch get out of Taiwan, China”.
Julie Tang, a retired San Fransisco Supreme Court judge and longtime supporter of Ms Pelosi, told the San Francisco Standard she was “disappointed” about the trip.
“We have donated to her, we’ve supported her throughout these years, but we are so disappointed that what she’s doing is totally against the welfare and the wellbeing of the community – in particular Chinese Americans,” Ms Tang said.
“She does not listen to us. She’s going with the flow, going with pushing US hegemony to contain China. For what? We don’t get anything out of it.”